Wednesday, October 8, 2025

Artifical Intelligence (AI) for Inclusive Societal Development - Viksit Bharat 2047

NITI Aayog on October 8 released a pioneering study, AI for Inclusive Societal DevelopmentThe roadmap proposes a national mission "Digital ShramSetu" that leverages AI and frontier technologies to overcome systemic barriers faced by informal workers and can be harnessed to transform the lives and livelihoods of India’s informal workers. The five key components of roadmap:
  1. Develop a national blueprint
  2. Coordinate fragmented stakeholders
  3. Catalyse strategic partnerships
  4. Translate innovation into impact
  5. Provide policy and regulatory support
Ecosystem 

India has one of the largest informal economies in the world, with about 90% of the workforce employed under informal arrangements, contributing nearly half (around 45-50%) of the country's GDP having 490 million informal workers. The informal sector includes unregistered enterprises, self-employed workers, casual laborers, domestic workers, and informal service providers, often lacking social security benefits. India's e-Shram portal, launched in August 2021 to create a National Database of Unorganised Workers (NDUW), has registered over 30.98 crore unorganised workers as of August 2025.

Migration and urban informal work are intertwined, with informal jobs. The informal sector poses challenges like poor working conditions, job insecurity, and exploitation, especially for migrant workers. Indian MSMEs employing informal workers also suffer on a competitive scale is the quality of talent. Businesses compensate for inferior quality labour with depressed wages which in turn creates an unattractive career pathway; hinders upward mobility; and disincentivizes talent.


Challenges

1. Harassment of MSMEs by labour inspectors is a reported issue in India, reflecting concerns over misuse of power, frequent inspections, and arbitrary penalties. The complex regulatory environment and multiple overlapping laws cause delays and create opportunities for rent-seeking behaviors from officials.

2. Workers with limited digital literacy become more dependent on intermediaries (officials, cybercafe operators, CSC operators) who can extract rents. This will create new rent-seeking opportunities. Local officials could charge fees for "faster processing" of digital IDs or demand bribes

3.Bureaucrats resist change, preferring to maintain their power and scope. Incentives encourage expanding departments and budgets rather than achieving efficiency. The administrative state centralizes power among unelected officials. The same bureaucrats who struggle with existing schemes will be tasked with implementing AI-powered verifiable credentials and smart contracts. 

4. Drawing from James C. Scott’s work, the discussion delves into how increased state legibility—enabled by systems like Aadhaar and UPI— have enabled government to operate from 2009 to 2024 without Privacy Law. The 15-year gap since Aadhaar’s launch without a privacy framework underscores systemic neglect. India currently lacks a fully enacted constitutional act specifically dedicated to AI regulation akin to the European AI Act.

5. Even if there is motivation in the government at top tiers, there is not always capacity to understand complex technological systems by frontline user.  India's DPI success (UPI, Aadhaar) succeeded because they involved standardized, high-volume transactions with limited discretionary implementation. Digital ShramSetu requires complex, discretionary decision-making at the local level—exactly where Indian state capacity is weakest and most corrupt.

6. Like poverty status, the classification of workers as formal or informal is fluid. Workers may shift between informal and formal employment due to job transitions, gig economy roles, and contractual changes. This fluidity complicates policy design, social protection coverage, and statistical measurements, demanding adaptive, inclusive frameworks.

7. India's skill development ecosystem reveals a systematic corruption pattern that AI implementation could either amplify or mitigate, depending on design choices.

Suggestions

1. AI algorithms can be used to match registered workers with job opportunities in their skill areas and geographic locations, optimizing employment pathways and reducing informality and underemployment. This can be initiated from Polytechniques and ITIs in the initial phase and gradually used for unorganized workers.

2. e-Shram portal must provide AI-facilitated interoperability with other government benefits like UDYAM, e-Pension, post office and healthcare schemes can offer a seamless experience for workers, facilitating holistic social protection. 

3. When an informal worker registered on e-Shram secures formal sector employment, their verified credentials and employment history can be linked to EPF enrollment processes, helping with identity verification, tracking contributions, and ensuring portability of social security benefits.

4. The roadmap assumes informal workers want to transition to formal systems. Application of the technology must necessarily be accompanied by design of transparent processes.  AI can be used for self-certification, digitization of compliance to reduce physical inspections, and stronger grievance redressal mechanisms to protect MSMEs from excessive or unfair enforcement. This is important to create pathways for the informal worker to initiate the journey into an entrepreneur integrated into formal economy. 

5. Labour courts and dispute resolution mechanisms are increasingly exploring the use of AI to improve efficiency, reduce backlogs, and enhance fairness in labour law enforcement. AI can analyze large volumes of workplace cases, assess precedents, and suggest outcomes based on legal principles, helping resolve disputes like wrongful termination more systematically.

6. Rather than voluntary adoption, India can consider sector-by-sector mandatory digitization starting with high-impact areas like contractual workers of PSUs and PM Vishwakarma beneficiaries

7. Last but not least, India must separate policymaking, implementation, and oversight functions.  There must be creation of an independent ombudsman systems for digital services and platform involved in gig economy. 

8. The mission should operate in true mission mode: establishing autonomous implementation units at state level with direct resource allocation, hiring authority, and performance accountability, bypassing traditional bureaucratic hierarchies that create implementation bottlenecks.

Global Lessons

Estonia’s government ministries are required to appoint AI officers and create AI implementation plans, effectively making AI adoption in public sector organizations a regulated requirement. In summary, Estonia mandates AI adoption and implementation plan within defined sectors such as education and government administration. Yet, Estonia's digital success required complete administrative restructuring before technology deployment.

Inside Amsterdam’s high-stakes experiment to create fair welfare AI: Even though Netherland Government worked hard to build a fair AI system to detect welfare fraud, the algorithm still showed bias against people with non-Dutch speaking migrants and those with lower incomes. Ethical AI needs ongoing human oversight, community involvement, and understanding that automation has limits when dealing with complex social fairness issue.

Conclusion

India's Digital ShramSetu mission confronts a fundamental paradox: it requires sophisticated state capacity to implement solutions for populations that exist precisely because of weak state capacity. India's Digital ShramSetu mission could indeed be transformative, but success requires acknowledging current limitations rather than assuming technological solutions will overcome social and economic realities. The Digital ShramSetu mission's success depends on recognizing that technology is a governance multiplier, not a governance substitute

Tuesday, October 7, 2025

Building Inclusive Digital Futures: The Role of Digital Public Goods and Infrastructure

Here is a blog post based on the learnings of Digital Public Infrastructure(DPI) and Good(DPG) for Impact with a special focus on India's digital ecosystem and global perspectives. 

The digital transformation of societies and economies hinges increasingly on foundational systems that provide open, trusted, and interoperable digital infrastructures. Digital Public Goods (DPGs) and Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) are emerging as critical enablers of inclusive growth, transparency, and innovation at scale. This blog dives deep into how these concepts are shaping India’s digital landscape and what lessons the world can learn from India’s pioneering efforts.

The rapid growth of Digital Public Infrastructures (DPIs) and digital platforms is driven by a convergence of policy shifts, technological evolution, and societal demands. At the same time, data-based governance has become central to policymaking, with real-time analytics enabling targeted welfare delivery, fraud prevention, and performance monitoring. These forces, combined with advances in cloud, open-source software, and API-driven architectures, are creating a virtuous cycle of adoption where DPIs and digital platforms are not just tools, but foundational enablers of inclusive, transparent, and efficient service ecosystems.

What Are Digital Public Goods and Infrastructure?

Digital Public Goods (DPGs) are open-source software, data, standards, and AI models that are freely available for anyone to use, adapt, and scale. They serve as building blocks for creating digital services that are inclusive and scalable globally. Examples include India’s Aadhaar biometric identity system, UPI payment platform, and open protocols like Beckn for commerce.

Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) refers to large-scale, interoperable digital platforms built on foundational DPGs that enable ecosystems of public and private actors to deliver services. DPI represents the "railways" or highways of the digital economy—open, shareable, secure, and enabling many-to-many interactions. India Stack, which powers Aadhaar, UPI, DigiLocker, and Account Aggregator frameworks, is a prime example.

India’s Digital Leadership: The India Stack and Beyond
India Stack integrates several layers of DPI, each designed to solve key challenges of identity, payments, data exchange, and commerce:


These layers underpin numerous government and private sector services, creating a robust digital ecosystem promoting financial inclusion, transparency, and new business opportunities.

Emerging Innovations: AI & Language Technology
New digital layers harness AI and natural language processing to serve India’s digitally underserved populations:
  1. BHASHINI (Bhasha Interface for India): A multilingual AI-powered language platform offering translation, speech recognition, and voice-enabled digital services across 22 Indian languages, breaking down language barriers and enabling greater digital participation.
  2. AI-driven Personalization and Fraud Detection: Embedded in services across healthcare, financial inclusion, and governance, AI models enable predictive analytics, user-tailored experiences, and automated compliance, enhancing service quality and security.
Global Perspectives on Digital Public Infrastructure

Digital IDs generally fall into two categories  foundational and functional — and different countries implement them according to their governance and service delivery priorities.

Foundational digital IDs serve as universal, multipurpose identifiers that legally establish an individual’s identity and enable access to a broad spectrum of services such as banking, healthcare, voting, and welfare. Their primary purpose is to act as the central proof of identity recognized across multiple sectors. Notable examples include India’s Aadhaar, which combines biometric and demographic data to facilitate services like e-KYC and subsidies.

Functional digital IDs are sector-specific and designed to verify eligibility or access within a particular domain rather than serving as a universal identity. They function within defined service areas and often rely on foundational IDs for authentication. Examples of functional IDs include India’s ration card and voter ID, which are primarily used for food subsidies and electoral processes, respectively.


These initiatives underline the global recognition that public digital infrastructure is foundational to modern governance and economic development.

Benefit of Digital Public Goods and Infrastructure

DPG is a public, private, and government read, which means that public citizens and everybody else also participate into building it, maintaining it, and enriching it. And private players make use cases, make business cases out of it, make money out of it, and help to translate those government benefits to the citizens and in turn, making a win-win situation for everyone. As the cost of acquisition goes down in digital mode, and the moment the cost of acquisition goes down, the cost of serving becomes easier for the private companies, for government, and also for citizens to access those services. 

Sunday, October 5, 2025

MahaAgri‑AI Policy 2025–2029

India's agricultural transformation is being driven by digital innovation, inclusive finance, and structural reforms. Initiatives like the Digital Agriculture Mission and Agristack are expanding crop intelligence and enabling data-driven decision-making. Technology is being leveraged to increase yields without raising input costs, while AI tools are helping small and marginal farmers manage risks and improve profitability. AI can help in all stages of farming right from predictive analysis of weather/soil to irrigation management and crop health monitoring to dissemination of information and packaging and storage of commodities.

MahaAgri‑AI Policy 2025–2029 approved by the Maharashtra Cabinet in June 2025, is truly a game changer for the agricultural sector due to its bold, technology-driven vision and actionable roadmap. It is India’s first dedicated artificial intelligence policy for agriculture, setting a benchmark for other states and the nation. This is India’s first comprehensive AI policy focused exclusively on agriculture.
Key Goals and Vision: 
  • Make Maharashtra a national and global leader in AI-enabled, farmer-centric, and sustainable agriculture.
  • Address challenges like low productivity, climate risks, water scarcity, market inefficiency, and lack of real-time decision support.
Major Features
  • AI Integration Across the Value Chain: Adoption of AI, GenAI, drones, IoT, remote sensing, and data platforms for precision farming, crop and soil monitoring, water management, and market access.
  • Digital Public Infrastructure: Launch of Agricultural Data Exchange (ADeX) for secure data sharing, an AI Sandbox for startups, and a Geospatial Intelligence Engine for climate/crop monitoring.
  • Real-Time Advisory Platforms: AI-powered Multilingual “VISTAAR” platform for personalized farmer advisories, integrated with Agristack, Bhashini, and national digital assets.
  • Blockchain Traceability: QR code-based blockchain systems for export crops (e.g., grapes, bananas, pomegranates) to improve food safety and trace exports.
  • Support for Startups & PPPs: Grants, hackathons, open calls, and public-private partnerships to foster innovation and market-ready solutions.
  • Farmer Digital Literacy: Training, fellowships, demo farms, and community outreach to ensure inclusive, confident adoption.
  • Governance: Robust oversight with a State-Level Steering Committee, Technical Committee, and a dedicated AI & Agritech Innovation Centre.
Broader Impact: 
  • Supports national initiatives such as Agristack, Maha-Agritech, Mahavedh, CropSAPP, and Agmarknet.
  • Designed to be inclusive, with special attention to reaching the last-mile farmer and ensuring ethical, responsible AI use.
Implementation Phases
  • Phase I (0-3 months): Foundation and institutional setup
  • Phase II (3-9 months): Pilot implementation and platform launch
  • Phase III (9-12 months): Statewide scale-up
  • Phase IV (12-36 months): Consolidation and policy evolution
Budget Allocation (₹500 Crore)
  • Digital Infrastructure: ₹50 crore
  • AI Projects Support: ₹350 crore
  • Innovation Centre Setup: ₹30 crore
  • Capacity Building: ₹50 crore
  • Global Conference/Summit: ₹20 crore
This comprehensive framework positions Maharashtra as India's first state with a dedicated AI agriculture policy, creating a replicable model for digital transformation in farming. MahaAgri‑AI 2025–2029 is widely seen as a model for India and developing nations in harnessing AI for a sustainable agriculture future.

Friday, October 3, 2025

Books that Shape Ideas: Economics and Public Policy on The Seen and the Unseen Podcast

"The Seen and the Unseen" is India's premier long-form podcast hosted by Amit Varma. The podcast, which has been running since 2017, features long-form conversations with intellectuals, writers, economists, historians, and thought leaders from India and around the world. The podcast is highly recommended to the readers for deep dive into diverse topics with subject matter experts.

The Host, Amit Varma is a respected journalist and writer, a two-time winner of the Bastiat Prize for Journalism. The show is renowned for its rich intellectual content and the diversity of its guests, making it a valuable resource for anyone interested in public policy, history, culture, or economics in contemporary India. I am only sharing the books recommended related to economics & public policy: 

Books by Indian authors
  1. Chip War: The Fight for the World’s Most Critical Technology — Chris Miller
  2. Where India Goes: Abandoned Toilets, Stunted Development and the Costs of Caste — Diane Coffey
  3. Austrian Economics: An Introduction — Steven Horwitz
  4. Friedrich Hayek: The Ideas and Influence of the Libertarian Economist — Eamonn Butler
  5. The Mystery of Capital — Hernando De Sotov
  6. Where Are the Customers’ Yachts? — Fred Schwed Jr.
Classics
  1. Free to Choose — Milton Friedman & Rose Friedman
  2. A Theory of Justice — John Rawls
  3. Capitalism and Freedom — Milton Friedman
  4. Individualism and Economic Order — Friedrich Hayek
  5. The Road to Serfdom — Friedrich Hayek
  6. Economics in One Lesson — Henry Hazlitt
  7. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money — John Maynard Keynes
  8. Public Opinion — Walter Lippmann
  9. Lombard Street: A Description of the Money Market — Walter Bagehot
  10. The Wealth of Nations — Adam Smith
  11. The Theory of Moral Sentiments — Adam Smith
For readers seeking to dive deeper into the themes discussed on the podcast, the book recommendations serve as a comprehensive guide to engaging with the complex ideas Amit Varma and his guests explore.

Monday, September 29, 2025

Book Recommendations by Nikhil Kamath - WTF Podcast

WTF is a podcast series where entrepreneur and Investor Nikhil Kamath hosts friends and industry experts and holds casual yet intellectually stimulating conversations. WTF Podcast is a must-listen for aspiring entrepreneurs, startup founders, stock market investors, early-career professionals, business students, and young professionals eager to understand wealth creation, financial markets, and unconventional thinking. 

Nikhil Kamath’s book recommendations focus on cultivating a mindset of continuous learning, financial literacy, and strategic thinking. Based on my research of Nikhil Kamath's WTF podcast series, here's a comprehensive collection of book recommendations that have emerged from his conversations and personal recommendations:

  1. Freedom from the Known by Jiddu Krishnamurti – Breaking mental conditioning and achieving true freedom
  2. The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel – Behavioral influences on financial decisions and money mindset
  3. The Denial of Death by Ernest Becker – Fear of mortality driving human behavior and accomplishments
  4. When Genius Failed by Roger Lowenstein – Collapse of a hedge fund, lessons on overconfidence and failures
  5. The Compound Effect by Darren Hardy – Small, consistent actions leading to significant long-term success
  6. A History of Western Philosophy by Bertrand Russell – Comprehensive overview of Western philosophical schools and thought
  7. Atomic Habits by James Clear – Systematic approach for building good habits and breaking bad ones
  8. Meditations by Marcus Aurelius – Stoic wisdom on resilience, discipline, and personal leadership growth
  9. Caste by Isabel Wilkerson – Examination of caste systems and social hierarchies globally
  10. Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind by Yuval Noah Harari – Human history is shaped by revolutions in cognition and society
  11. Source Code by Bill Gates – Insights on technology innovation, philanthropy, and global challenges